BUFFER ETF — DEFINED OUTCOME ANALYSIS
Blanc WM — Strategy Research — April 2026
S&P 500 Underlying 1995–2024 · 30 Years
15c / 9b — Final Value
$963K
8.0% CAGR · Sharpe 0.69 · σ 10.5%
11.5c / 15b — Final Value
$706K
7.0% CAGR · Sharpe 0.73 · σ 7.9%
Raw S&P 500 — Final Value
$2.25M
11.1% CAGR · Sharpe 0.51 · σ 18.1%
Buffer Fired (Crisis-Level)
3 / 30
2002, 2008, 2022 — only years loss > buffer
Worst Year — 15c/9b
−28.0%
2008 · S&P was −37.0% · saved 9pp
Best Sharpe Ratio
0.73
11.5c/15b · vs 0.69 (15c/9b) · 0.51 (S&P)
📈 Cumulative Growth — $100K invested Jan 1995
15% cap / 9% buffer
11.5% cap / 15% buffer
Raw S&P 500
Annual Returns — Year by Year
15% cap / 9% buffer
Raw S&P 500
📌 Full Metrics Scorecard
Metric 15c / 9b 11.5c / 15b Raw S&P 500 Winner
Full Year-by-Year Data (1995–2024)
Year S&P 500 15c/9b Return 11.5c/15b Return Cap Hit? Buffer Fired?
📈 Risk-Adjusted Return Decomposition
When Did the Buffer Actually Help?
Year S&P 500 15c/9b Return 11.5c/15b Return 9b Saved 15b Saved Event